Select a date range and click Run Research.
Fetches HR data from Baseball Savant · Statcast distance data only.
Fetches HR data from Baseball Savant · Statcast distance data only.
Leaderboard
Charts
EV / LA Profile
Ceiling Hunters
Day Log
Player rankings click column headers to sort
| # | Player | Wins | Win % | HR days | Avg dist | p90 dist | Max dist | Avg EV | Max EV | Avg LA | Top-3 rate | Signal |
|---|
Win frequency — top players (days hit the longest HR)
Distance distribution — all HRs vs day winners
Rolling repeat-winner rate (7-day window)
Exit velo vs launch angle — sized by wins · hover for name
Green band = optimal LA 25–31°. Bigger dot = more wins. Color = win rate.
HR volume (HR days) vs win rate — is frequency predictive?
If volume predicts wins, you'd see a strong upward trend. Flat = random.
p90 distance vs avg distance — who has the highest ceiling relative to their average?
Gap between bars = ceiling above average. Large gap = inconsistent but dangerous. Small gap = consistent power.
LA profile breakdown optimal = 25–31° · pop-up = >31° · liner = <25°
| Player | Avg EV | Max EV | Avg LA | LA profile | p90 dist | Avg dist | Max dist | Wins | Win % |
|---|
HR threshold exceedance — % of HRs reaching 420, 430, 440, 450 ft · top players by 430+ rate
Based on our distribution analysis, 430+ ft HRs win the promo most often. This shows how repeatable each player's power ceiling is — not just their one-time max.
430 ft+ rate vs win rate — does hitting bombs consistently predict promo wins?
Each dot is a player. Size = HR days. Upward trend would confirm 430+ rate as a predictor.
Threshold exceedance table sorted by 430+ rate · min 5 HR days
| # | Player | 420+ rate | 430+ rate | 440+ rate | 450+ rate | Avg dist | p90 dist | HR days | Wins | Win % |
|---|
Daily results click row to expand top 5
| Date | Winner | Winning dist | Total HRs | Avg dist |
|---|
Promo intelligence